PERSPECTIVES

From The Co-Founders

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Tips, Tactics & Strategic Insights and Commentary
from The ROI Co-Founders, Pat Johnson and Dick Outcalt
Outcalt & Johnson: Retail Strategists LLC; Retail Turnaround Experts

Thanksgiving Is "Late" This Year

 

"Christmas will be here before you know it."

Well, actually, Christmas will be here the same time it always is: December 25. 

However, what does change are the cues for the shoppers. 

That is, Thanksgiving falls as late as it can this year, on November 28. That means, for those keeping score at home and for the breathless business pundits, there are only 26 shopping days between Thanksgiving and Christmas. This is six days shorter than a year ago, and the shortest since 2019.

That's why some retailers, especially those that are publicly traded, are making mighty efforts to lengthen the shopping season. 

But, is there actual value in trying to prompt shoppers to start their Christmas shopping before they have even handed out Halloween candy? Yes, but...

Two thoughts:

  • Given how much preliminary "shopping" (that is, browsing, gathering/searching for ideas) is now done online, rather than in stores, the impact of having Thanksgiving occur very late in November may not carry the same significance as it once did. People can go online anytime (and you don’t have to schedule additional staff so soon!)

  • And, remember this: every year there is a slump, a slowdown, between the Monday after Thanksgiving and December 10. Only then, with just two weeks left, the shopper attention and intensity picks up. 

So, what's a retailer to do?

  • Be certain that you have the best, most appropriate web presence your operation deserves. It should do justice to your story, your merchandise, your customers. Do it, asap.

  • Offer as many conveniences and time savers for your customers as they prefer (younger shoppers may have different preferences than others.) You don't need an app to offer click and collect, or buy online, pickup in store. 

  • Be strategic about your scheduling. There will be busy days/times in your stores. Anticipate when those are most likely, and be sure to have your best sales people available then. 

Meanwhile, our contrarian thought: 

There is a lot of uncertainty in the economy right now, from upcoming elections, political turmoil, international conflicts, natural disasters, etcetera. More so than most years, shoppers are very likely to wait until the last moment to decide how much they will spend on Christmas this year.

That is, even if Thanksgiving had fallen on the earliest possible date, the shoppers this year - especially the price-conscious shoppers - won't show their hands until after December 10. 

The takeaway for retailers: Stay calm. 

  • Between now and the late Thanksgiving, because the Big Guys will be establishing the Holiday aura, be competitive and reassuring. Those early shoppers are wanting to be prepared.

  • Be ready for the Black Friday hoopla.

  • Then stay strong through those "slump days" until December 10. Indeed, relish that the slump is actually less time to endure this year! 

And remember: there always is something to celebrate!



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