PERSPECTIVES

From The Co-Founders

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Tips, Tactics & Strategic Insights and Commentary
from The ROI Co-Founders, Pat Johnson and Dick Outcalt
Outcalt & Johnson: Retail Strategists LLC; Retail Turnaround Experts

Holiday Forecasts – Add Your Good Judgment!

The Retail Brew newsletter posted their "roundup of the highest profile holiday forecasts." Their summation? "Experts predict cautious consumers will slow their roll in 2025." *

  • They cited forecasts from Adobe Analytics, the Mastercard Economics Institute (MEI), Bain & Company, PricewaterhouseCoopers, and Deloitte. They explain how each of these sources gathers their data, what each source concludes - their Data Points – and their Insights. 

Retail Brew's conclusion: "A rough consensus is forming among experts that the 2025 holiday season could be a letdown compared to last year."

As you are the in-house expert on your business, that's undoubtedly not news to you. But it may confirm and quantify that dark cloud hovering on the horizon.

So...what now? 

Take advantage of the lead time you have – that is, this last week in October - and identify "What are my options for November and December?" 

Overcome the uncertainty of this holiday season, and, applying your good judgment, begin 2026 from a greater position of strength. Whether you choose The ROI’s PROFITS Forecaster or 3-in-1 Calculatorbecome a Member of The ROI and you can look ahead not just to November and December, but to the next 12 months. Empowering!

No need to guess! In real time, on the spot, you can see and compare the impacts on profits and cash flow of your "What if's...?" Just tweak the inputs, then see the outcomes. Immediately!

Hmm. Don't like how that would turn out? Try some “What if…?” changes. All on your own. Remember your goal: "What are my options?" 

  • Some may not work at all.

  • Others may be workable, but not make much difference financially. 

  • And some that have previously been dismissed out of hand may actually "pencil out." 

Now, armed with those insights, apply your good judgment! 

As a Member of The ROI, you can chart the path forward through the holiday season and into 2026 with confidence – and peace of mind.

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*"Experts predict cautious consumers will slow their roll in 2025." Alex Vocolo, Retail Brew, October 17, 2025.



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