PERSPECTIVES

Undoubtedly you'll agree with this. We read and hear a lot in the business press, but we treat 100% of it rather skeptically. 

And so it is with articles and commentary about this coming Holiday Season, specifically about retailers' inventory and margins.

Nevertheless, there is considerable good news being trumpeted. Most recently, this feature article in the Wall Street Journal: "Retailers Hone  Inventory for Holidays" *

"In-Person Shopping Keeps Getting Worse"

That was the headline in a recent business page editorial*. And the writer was able to cite chapter and verse of all-too-prevalent lousy shopping experiences for customers. 

• "More American stores are doing with fewer employees and many have locked items up to keep them from being pilfered."
   
• "The retail industry slashed head count in 2020 and has never returned to pre-pandemic staffing levels."
   
• Meanwhile, "store employees are spending more time fulfilling online orders, leaving them less time for helping [in-store] customers."
   
• Then this warning: "Head-count reductions will become even more tempting in the quarters ahead, as the economy dampens consumers' appetite for shopping."

As noted by a Wharton School professor, "retailers frequently reduce headcount because 'you immediately see the savings in payroll but you don't necessarily know what damage that does to the top line.'" Of course, the retailers that professor is referencing are the Big Guys who have to satisfy their investors every quarter.

As independent retailers, you have advantages that are unavailable to the Big Guys.

Think about the prominent characteristics of today's shopping experience:

• More "self-service" for the customers (that is, less staff on the floor.)
• Self check-out by the customer.
• Reduced in-store merchandise selection; "Just check our website."
• Limited in-store signage or knowledgeable staff.
• Presumptions that customers will search online for product information, reviews, etc.
• Automated, "menu-driven" phone systems replacing "real people."  

Hmm.  

• Are these providing more "convenience" for shoppers?
• Improving their shopping experience?
• Or – just shifting the work to them?!

Convenience Retailer vs. Destination Retailer: Decision Time

Throughout the pandemic, millions of shoppers – including the older Baby Boomers – discovered the benefits of online shopping. Then, as brick-n-mortar retailers scrambled to survive, the increased availability of delivery, curbside pickup, BOPIS (Buy Online, Pickup In Store) and BORIS (Buy Online, Return In Store) was well received by a broad swath of consumers. 

We see that this has brought heightened awareness of two different retail strategies: Convenience Retailing versus Destination Retailing. 

And here's the deal: retailers now must choose either one or the other of those two strategies. You cannot have one foot on the dock and one foot in the boat. You DO have to decide! 

• That uncertain/undecided middle ground is not a viable choice. 
• Those who end up there by default – by choosing to not choose  are on their first step to being former retailers!

It's a given that your sales volume is a very big deal. Granted, you are analyzing it every day. But here's a slightly different approach which you may find very revealing.

Let's start with a couple truisms. The definition of retailing is “selling to the ultimate consumer.” 

Retailing also is having "the right product at the right price at the right place at the right time for the right customer."

But, as retailers ponder how best to manage sales in the current consumer environment, does it really matter whether their "right customers" buy from them in-store or online? 

Actually, it might! And here’s a simple, free "pilot project" to find out a little more.

Are we alone, or have you also noticed it?

Everything seems to be kind of stalled right now. Maybe that's for good reason. Or maybe this period of malaise is a great opportunity for the bold. Whatever, it seems weird.

Look at these examples: 

• Sure, now the Silicon Valley Bank has been sold. Finally. But the fragileness of the entire banking system hasn't been corrected. So, if a retailer needs something from a lender, expect to hear "Let's just wait to see how this shakes out."
   
• On the world stage, all sorts of powerful players are jostling for attention and position. It can be unsettling. Whether it's Russia, China, North Korea, Brazil, Israel or whomever, it's happening daily. And it seems to have many observers saying, "Let's just wait to see how this plays out."

The savvy retailers know that now is the time to be putting the finishing touches on – wait for it – being ready for December 26!

Yes, this unique time period between December 26 and New Year's Day is a tremendous make-or-break opportunity. Indeed, many retailers find they net more from this time than any earlier stretch of 6-10 days!

Why? Three main reasons.

First, the many opportunities to reduce expenses "back to normal". Less advertising cost. Less staff. Fewer hours.

For most retailers, especially this year, reducing inventory is priority #1. With talk of a 2023 recession still in the air, lingering inflation driving up costs, and rising interest rates, cash is definitely king this year.

Time to revisit your year-end strategies for meeting your targeted ending inventory on December 31. If you are like many retailers this year, with plenty of merchandise in your stores, you know the challenge:  how best to turn that inventory into cash? Quickly! Especially without looking like a distressed merchant.

Here's one answer for how to do that. Focus on improving the productivity of each shopper who comes to your store. That is, increase the IPTs (Items Per Transaction.) Make it easier, more compelling and more fun for them to buy more items from you.